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iPhone Shipments Could Fall Below 200 Million This Year

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AppleInsider reports that well-respected KGI Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo has informed investors today that he thinks that iPhone shipments may well fall below 200 million units in 2016.

Kuo said in a note to investors that he expects Apple to ship 85 million to 95 million iPhones in the first half of 2016, and 105 million to 115 million units shipped in the second half of the year.

This would make Kuo’s predicted yearly tally for Apple of iPhones shipped to be from 190 million to 210 million, with Kuo saying that it is more likely to be under 200 million. This would be considerably lower than the 232 million iPhones shipped by Apple in 2015, and the 210 million to 230 million predicted by Wall Street experts for 2016.

Kuo says that the reasons for this fall are threefold. Firstly, he thinks that replacement demand for larger displays is slowing. Secondly, he doesn’t think that the iPhone SE will appeal to a large number of customers due to the fact that it is not a new form factor. And finally, as far as the forthcoming iPhone 7 is concerned, Kuo says that if, as expected, its dual-camera iSight array is only for the bigger 5.5-inch Plus model, and not the more popular 4.7-inch models, consumers will be missing out. He also notes that several of Apple’s rivals, such as Xiaomi, ZTE, and Lenovo, will all be launching dual-camera smartphones before Apple does.

Source: Apple's iPhone shipments 'likely' to fall below 200M in 2016, insider says
 

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